This topic has been in my mind since the 12th general election when BN lost the four state government of Selangor, Perak, Penang and Kedah while we couldn't retain Kelantan after more than 22 years of PAS rule. I am deeply concerned over the political power of the Malays in leading this country as agreed in the Federal Constitution.
Malaysia is one of the fastest developing nation in the region due to her political and economic stability under the BN rule since the nation's independence. The country was entrusted with the power ruled by UMNO/BN for more than 55 years without any major issues. In the earliest decades of the rule by Alliance (Perikatan) the politics of yesteryear was different due to the sincere and compromised political leadership and government based on the need and aspiration of the various communities, primarily the majority Malays and the Chinese together with the Indians as well as the other minorities within the minority.
However, as time progresses and Malaysia becomes more developed, the competition and demand became more significant with the younger generation of Malaysians, who are much more liberal thinking than their generation of forefather before them. They have better education and exposure overseas which had changed their thinking and perspective of things in Malaysia.This phenomenon was seen after the 12th general election in 2008 when the ruling party became weaker under the leadership of former premier Tun Abdullah Badawi who had taken over from Tun Mahathir. I believe that when Tun Mahathir became agitated and he had to hand over the reign of governance to Pak Lah after more than 22 years at the helm. However, I believe that Tun Mahathir had made a wrong political decision as he should have handed over the power to Najib Tun Razak in 2003, but fate has it all that the latter had be entrusted with the challenges to rule Malaysia from 2009 and not in 2003. In this context, the expulsion of Anwar Ibrahim, former UMNO Deputy President and Deputy Prime Minister in September 1998, had created a wave of street demonstrations in supporting Anwar Ibrahim who was accused of being involved in the sexual scandal and other corruption charges.
As the result of Anwar's return to politics after he was released from prison in 2004 after 6 years of arrest, due to the judgment of guilt against him for the first sodomy charge, the political situation became more crucial when Anwar's PKR party had merged with DAP and PAS under the lose collation of Pakatan Rakyat in 2004. Thus begin the political crusade of the Malays that had resulted in the political dilemma of the Malays, while the Chinese gathers more support from DAP. The situation today under the rule of Najib had further aggravated due to Anwar's greed for absolute power funded by his foreign agents in order to overthrow the UMNO/BN government by street revolts and demonstrations.
Following the leadership of Najib, Anwar became more agitated and aggressive to unseat Najib and his administration from 2009 until today. In the last 2 years Najib's administration had been under siege with all kind of accusations against Najib and the UMNO/BN government. Today, racial polarization became worst as DAP gathers momentum to win Chinese support at the expense of PAS and PKR. As a result of this sudden political development, the position of MCA, Gerakan continue to and MIC became weaker while the other minority parties in BN are also seen restless for a political awakening within the collation. Under this political circumstance, we could see that racial polarization will certainly divide the nation. Today, the majority of the Chinese will support DAP politics and thus will weaken the position of the Malays and placed them in a political dilemma.
In the final political analysis, I do not think that PAS is happy or comfortable with the new emergence of DAP's super power in gathering the confidence of the Chinese voters. The Chinese is moving fast towards supporting DAP politics and they will slowly abandon MCA and Gerakan. However, is the Malays themselves still supporting UMNO and forsaking PAS which had been using the Islamic slogan in their politics to the dislike of the majority Malays? Who is the Malay Godfather in politics? It is either UMNO or PAS but certainly not PKR. In the wake of the Malay political dilemma, it is sensible for the Malays to be more united via new political engagement with PAS, while the Chinese had already favoring DAP politics. In this context, UMNO and PAS should merge in order to strengthen the political position of the Malays within the next few years.
This new political dimension will not materialize after the 13th general election expected to be held within the 1st quarter of 2013 where BN is expected to be voted back in power. I believe within the next 5 to 10 years, Malaysia will be ready for a two party political system comprising the majority Chinese supporting DAP politics while the Malay UMNO will once again merge with the PAS Malays. In other words, the Chinese Malaysians will be on one side of the political pole and the Malays on the other, while the rest of the minorities will not be marginalized.On the other hand, I do not see any danger with a two party system of politics with the leadership of the new generation in the year 2020. However, Najib should now prepare for the ground in order to change the mind set of the people as he had gathered enough Chinese and Indians to support all his transformation programs that will benefit all Malaysian within the next 5 years.
Friday, November 30, 2012
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
The Three Faces of Anwar Ibrahim
THE THREE FACES OF ANWAR IBRAHIM
Looking back on some of my files on Anwar Ibrahim, there have been many attempts to write about the sensational political life of Anwar Ibrahim the elected MP for Permatang Pauh and Opposition Leader in Malaysia's current Parliament. The current parliamentary sitting ends in April, 2013 under the leadership and governance of prime minister Najib Tun Razak when he took over the reign from Abdullah Ahmad Badawi at the most crucial time of Malaysia's political future in April, 2009.
In this topic entitled "the three faces of Anwar Ibrahim" it is my intention to focus on Anwar's political future based on the readings of his changing faces over the last few years, from the time he was dismissed by Tun Dr. Mahathir who was also responsible to bring Anwar into the government in the late 70s. The first face of Anwar Ibrahim had been dealt with during his political formation years in heading the ABIM (Malaysian Muslim Youth Movement) which he had built up together with some of the notable leaders like Sanusi Junid and Prof. Nawawi Ghazali. Anwar is a "Fire Pig" in the Chinese zodiac and is highly ambitious though a risk taker in whatever he does as long as he gets to the final destination of his chosen career. Anwar had very high hope that he could used ABIM to neutralize his position within the UMNO leadership when he was brought into the fold of the party. However, as history dictates, Anwar had failed to garner sufficient support to wrest the powerful leadership of Tun Mahathir that had finally led to his political downfall in September 1998. The rest is history but Anwar's ambition to become the next prime minister is still glowing under the current Najib administration in the face of the coming 13th general election expected before the end of this year.
The second face of Anwar Ibrahim is the continuation of Anwar's political struggle to capture Putrajaya based on his success in helping Pakatan Rakyat in caputring Sealngor, Perak, Penang and Kedah in the 2008 general election. Perak however was short life for Pakatan due to the power struggle between DAP and PKR which was eventually recaptured by Barisan Nasional after hardly one year of Pakatan's reign.
Politically speaking Anwar had lost political ground when former premier Abdullah Ahmad Badawi was forced to hand over the UMNO leadership and government to Najib Tun Razak in April 2009. Najib was also Anwar's contemporary in UMNO politics and I had always believe that Anwar had lost his bid for the UMNO Presidency and the coveted post of prime minister even though Najib has yet to secure his own political mandate in UMNO. In the last few years, Najib has been able to consolidate his power in UMNO and most of his friends and also political enemies within the party had rallied solidly behind Najib, including the current deputy President Muhyiddin Yassin. Politically speaking, it's really Najib's gain with the continued strong support of Tun Dr. Mahathir and Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah that will end Anwars's ambition to take over the coveted position as the 7th Malaysian prime minister after PRU13.
The third face of Anwar Ibrahim will see the gradual decline of Anwar's political leadership within the Pakatan, as the anointed leader that will further suffer due to the ongoing power struggle between PKR, DAP and PAS. It is very clear that Pakatan was only a political marriage by convenience since 2008 and they have yet to prove that they had been successful in heading the state administration of Perak, Penang and Kedah. Politically, only Kelantan under the rule of PAS remains strong but it is also expected to fall into the reign of BN as UMNO is getting stronger in the Northern Eastern State. There is very little opportunity for PKR, DAP and PAS to work on a concerted political platform in their quest to capture Putrajaya or even trying to retain their rule in Selangor and Kedah, which BN is expected to recapture the two important states.
Finally, Anwar Ibrahim will remain in the lull of Malaysia's next political power under the leadership of Najib Tun Razak. However, Anwar will not see his political demise in the coming years although he is in his mid 60s and much older than Najib, his number one political opponent. On the contrary and based on Anwar's ongoing legal tussles, he may have to serve his jail terms if convicted on his Sodomy II case with Saiful Bahari and also some of the renewed corruption cases against him, that had involved the flow of large foreign political funds received from some of the notable NGOs from the Western power, US, Germany and Turkey.Anwar is the suspected prime mover of this espionage through his previous extensive networking with the foreign power when he was the former DPM and Finance Minister, especially through his CIA connection with the United States of America, which had been instrumental to overthrow the current BN government under the leadership of Najib Tun Razak, although our current bilateral relations with President Obama is expected to be stronger given the current US political situation to re-elect Obama for another term of office.
Looking back on some of my files on Anwar Ibrahim, there have been many attempts to write about the sensational political life of Anwar Ibrahim the elected MP for Permatang Pauh and Opposition Leader in Malaysia's current Parliament. The current parliamentary sitting ends in April, 2013 under the leadership and governance of prime minister Najib Tun Razak when he took over the reign from Abdullah Ahmad Badawi at the most crucial time of Malaysia's political future in April, 2009.
In this topic entitled "the three faces of Anwar Ibrahim" it is my intention to focus on Anwar's political future based on the readings of his changing faces over the last few years, from the time he was dismissed by Tun Dr. Mahathir who was also responsible to bring Anwar into the government in the late 70s. The first face of Anwar Ibrahim had been dealt with during his political formation years in heading the ABIM (Malaysian Muslim Youth Movement) which he had built up together with some of the notable leaders like Sanusi Junid and Prof. Nawawi Ghazali. Anwar is a "Fire Pig" in the Chinese zodiac and is highly ambitious though a risk taker in whatever he does as long as he gets to the final destination of his chosen career. Anwar had very high hope that he could used ABIM to neutralize his position within the UMNO leadership when he was brought into the fold of the party. However, as history dictates, Anwar had failed to garner sufficient support to wrest the powerful leadership of Tun Mahathir that had finally led to his political downfall in September 1998. The rest is history but Anwar's ambition to become the next prime minister is still glowing under the current Najib administration in the face of the coming 13th general election expected before the end of this year.
The second face of Anwar Ibrahim is the continuation of Anwar's political struggle to capture Putrajaya based on his success in helping Pakatan Rakyat in caputring Sealngor, Perak, Penang and Kedah in the 2008 general election. Perak however was short life for Pakatan due to the power struggle between DAP and PKR which was eventually recaptured by Barisan Nasional after hardly one year of Pakatan's reign.
Politically speaking Anwar had lost political ground when former premier Abdullah Ahmad Badawi was forced to hand over the UMNO leadership and government to Najib Tun Razak in April 2009. Najib was also Anwar's contemporary in UMNO politics and I had always believe that Anwar had lost his bid for the UMNO Presidency and the coveted post of prime minister even though Najib has yet to secure his own political mandate in UMNO. In the last few years, Najib has been able to consolidate his power in UMNO and most of his friends and also political enemies within the party had rallied solidly behind Najib, including the current deputy President Muhyiddin Yassin. Politically speaking, it's really Najib's gain with the continued strong support of Tun Dr. Mahathir and Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah that will end Anwars's ambition to take over the coveted position as the 7th Malaysian prime minister after PRU13.
The third face of Anwar Ibrahim will see the gradual decline of Anwar's political leadership within the Pakatan, as the anointed leader that will further suffer due to the ongoing power struggle between PKR, DAP and PAS. It is very clear that Pakatan was only a political marriage by convenience since 2008 and they have yet to prove that they had been successful in heading the state administration of Perak, Penang and Kedah. Politically, only Kelantan under the rule of PAS remains strong but it is also expected to fall into the reign of BN as UMNO is getting stronger in the Northern Eastern State. There is very little opportunity for PKR, DAP and PAS to work on a concerted political platform in their quest to capture Putrajaya or even trying to retain their rule in Selangor and Kedah, which BN is expected to recapture the two important states.
Finally, Anwar Ibrahim will remain in the lull of Malaysia's next political power under the leadership of Najib Tun Razak. However, Anwar will not see his political demise in the coming years although he is in his mid 60s and much older than Najib, his number one political opponent. On the contrary and based on Anwar's ongoing legal tussles, he may have to serve his jail terms if convicted on his Sodomy II case with Saiful Bahari and also some of the renewed corruption cases against him, that had involved the flow of large foreign political funds received from some of the notable NGOs from the Western power, US, Germany and Turkey.Anwar is the suspected prime mover of this espionage through his previous extensive networking with the foreign power when he was the former DPM and Finance Minister, especially through his CIA connection with the United States of America, which had been instrumental to overthrow the current BN government under the leadership of Najib Tun Razak, although our current bilateral relations with President Obama is expected to be stronger given the current US political situation to re-elect Obama for another term of office.
Sunday, July 1, 2012
PM Najib should call for PRU13 within the next few months without further delay.
I have not been updating my own blog code-named MasAgungKL di Scribe for the last few months due to certain work commitments. However, since there had been a lot of media speculations on the date for PRU13 and Najib has been very cautious in his response to the press and gave all kinds of hints that PRU13 could be held anytime from now till April 2013. On the other hand Tun Dr Mahathir had also advised Najib and commented that Najib should complete the present 5 year term in office.I beg to disagree as PRU13 should be called as soon as possible.
However, I believe it's better for Najib to seek his own mandate and call for PRU13 within the next few months. I opined that further delay may not be to the advantage of BN but instead will give more time to the opposition to prepare for their strategy to ensure a good fight against BN.I believe the BN election machinery is already ready and SPR is also on standby, if parliament is dissolved at the end of this current session. Strategically Najib should not wait any longer and go for PRU13 in early July before the Ramadan the earliest or immediately after the Hari Raya Aidilfitri celebration in mid August. Both windows are ideal to hold PRU13 with the good factors before Budget 2013. The budget should also seen as the government's commitment for a good and better governance, if BN is voted into power again in PRU13.PRU13 is Najib's baby and BN should ensure that we can win with a 2/3 majority in the next government in order to endorse Najib's next 5 years in office so that all the GTPs will be implemented in the next few years.
As a party supporter, I am also committed to help UMNO/BN to ensure a sterling victory for Najib and hopefully BN will recapture Selangor and Kedah. I urge all members and party workers in BN to go all out in order to defend BN rule in the national interest. Voting PR with an increased majority will be a suicide for BN which the country could ill-afford. Najib, leader of BN needs a strong mandate for him to sure that his next governance will bring the nation to the next development towards 2020.I believe Najib is a wise leader and will honour his promise to give an equitable recognition to all Malaysians under his 1Malaysia initiative.
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